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Kash
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Best Film
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

A weak line up here: no 'Che', 'Redacted', 'Last Chance Harvey', 'Hunger', 'Mircale At St. Anna', 'Blindness'. Wake up Hollywood.

WHAT SHOULD WIN: Frost/Nixon
WHAT WILL WIN: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button


Best Foreign Language Film
The Baader Meinhof Complex
The Class
Departures
Revanche
Waltz with Bashir

Another mixed bag: 'Gammora' made the Italian mafia serious again and should've been nominated '4 Months, 3 Weeks & 2 Days' was also an intense film. One major omission is 'Mongol: The Rise Of Genghis Khan'.

WHAT SHOULD WIN: Waltz with Bashir
WHAT WILL WIN: Waltz with Bashir

Israel ought to have been banned from contention. And yet this film, focused on their first invasion of Lebanon in 1982 includes the massacres at Sabra and Shatila and is redeemed by lines like "You took on the role of a Nazi, unwillingly". An insight into PTSD though its all a little too close to home in light of ongoing Israeli crimes in Gaza. Worth seeing, hated the rotoscope animation though.


Best Director
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - David Fincher
Frost/Nixon - Ron Howard
Milk - Gus Van Sant
The Reader - Stephen Daldry
Slumdog Millionaire - Danny Boyle

WHO SHOULD WIN: Gus Van Sant
WHO WILL WIN: Danny Boyle

Actor In A Leading Role
The Visitor - Richard Jenkins
Frost/Nixon - Frank Langella
Milk - Sean Penn
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button -
Brad Pitt
The Wrestler - Mickey Rourke

WHO SHOULD WIN: Frank Langella
WHO WILL WIN: Mickey Rourke

Granted, 'W' wasn't a great film but I thought Josh Brolin was a "shoe in" (pun intented) for his pitch perfect performance as the villainous Dubya. Living legend Samuel L. Jackson ought to have got the nod for 'Lakeview Terrace' as well, at least it would go some way to erasing our memories of 'The Spirit'.


Actor In A Supporting Role
Milk - Josh Brolin
Tropic Thunder - Robert Downey Jr.
Doubt - Philip Seymour Hoffman
The Dark Knight - Heath Ledger
Revolutionary Road - Michael Shannon

Now I like 'Tropic Thunder' as much as the next guy, and Robert Downey Jr. was the funniest actor in it, but this is ridiculous. Don't even try and make it look like a competition: Heath Ledger owns this catergory, and justifiably so.

WHO SHOULD WIN: Heath Ledger
WHO WILL WIN: Heath Ledger (just imagine the awkward silence if its someone else)


Actress In A Leading Role
Rachel Getting Married - Anne Hathaway
Changeling - Angelina Jolie
Frozen River - Melissa Leo
Doubt - Meryl Streep
The Reader - Kate Winslet

WHO SHOULD WIN: Angelina Jolie
WHO WILL WIN: Kate Winslet

All deserving ladies: Jolie's got a good chance as she won best supporting a few years ago, Kate has history and Hollywood's love of Sohah business on her side whilst industry legend Meryl Streep doesn't just show up for fun, so its still anyone's game.

Actress In A Supporting Role
Doubt - Amy Adams
Vicky Cristina Barcelona - Penélope Cruz
Doubt - Viola Davis
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Taraji P. Henson
The Wrestler - Marisa Tomei

WHO SHOULD WIN: Penélope Cruz
WHO WILL WIN: Marisa Tomei

I like Marisa Tomei, she's done some good work recently in 'Before The Devil Knows You're Dead', 'Factotum' and 'War INC', already has her well deserved best supporting gong for 'My Cousin Vinnie' but her performance in 'The Wrestler' was nothing to write home about. Taraji P. Henson is another hugely underrated actress who'll get some long overdue attention here too.



Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Eric Roth, Robin Swicord
Doubt - John Patrick Shanley
Frost/Nixon - Peter Morgan
The Reader - David Hare
Slumdog Millionaire - Simon Beaufoy

WHAT SHOULD WIN: Frost/Nixon
WHAT WILL WIN: The Reader


Original Screenplay
Frozen River - Courtney Hunt
Happy-Go-Lucky - Mike Leigh
In Bruges - Martin McDonagh
Milk - Dustin Lance Black
WALL-E - Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Pete Docter

WHAT SHOULD WIN: In Bruges
WHAT WILL WIN: Milk

Animated Feature
Bolt
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E

WHAT SHOULD WIN: I've only seen Kung-Fu Panda out of three.
WHAT WILL WIN: A lot of people seemed to like WALL-E.

Art Direction
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road

Tough catergory, they're all pretty good. The fanboy's choice is obviously 'Dark Knight', but the others have a lot going for them too.

WHAT SHOULD WIN: No prefrence
WHAT WILL WIN: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Cinematography
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

WHAT SHOULD WIN: The Dark Knight
WHAT WILL WIN: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Costume Design
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Duchess
Milk
Revolutionary Road

WHAT SHOULD WIN: The Duchess
WHAT WILL WIN: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Documentary Feature
The Betrayal (Nerakhoon)
Encounters at the End of the World
The Garden
Man on Wire
Trouble the Water

No 'Standard Operating Proceedure': Focused on the 'Abu Ghraib' torture scandal it was one of the most powerful documentatires of the year and the Academy should've put its nomination forward.

WHAT SHOULD WIN: Have only seen two of these so The Betrayal (Nerakhoon)
WHAT WILL WIN: Man on Wire

Editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire

WHAT SHOULD WIN: The Dark Knight
WHAT WILL WIN: Slumdog Millionaire

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Chris the CandyFanMan
Those Ain't Pillows......
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Will they be offering the Irving G. Thalberg Award this year? If so, who's up for that?

I just hope at some point during one of these they'll get around to giving at least one member of the SNL/SCTV generation a lifetime achievement award that many of them have earned but have gone under the radar with since the Academy so clearly doesn't appreciate even great performances from comedians, as evidenced when they tossed Bill Murray aside for Lost in Translation a few years back and killed any last hope I had they'd honor that generation for their work in their lifetimes (one could well argue Murray was also run over a quarter century ago, that Venkman may have been good enough for at least a Best Actor nomination--not necessarily the win, but defintely a nomination).

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Dexter Motley Morgan
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I agree with most of the nominations except for Robert Downey Jr. I liked Tropic Thunder and thought he was funny in it but IMO not an Oscar worthy performance.......
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LISA LISA
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I can't get over the No Clint Eastwood for Gran Torino. That is a drag.
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Ronnie
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quote:
Originally posted by MotleyRulz:
I agree with most of the nominations except for Robert Downey Jr. I liked Tropic Thunder and thought he was funny in it but IMO not an Oscar worthy performance.......

really motley? i thought so. i predicted he would get a nod for the his role.. but i know for a fact, he won't win.
the oscar will most likely go to heath ledger.

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Dexter Motley Morgan
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I'm not saying Robert's performance wasn't good but when I think of Oscar I think of something dramatic I guess..........
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Stitch Groover
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Best Picture - I think this year the Academy will embrace the feeling of change and positivity that has gripped the world since November, and give the gong to Slumdog Millionaire .

Best Actor - This is a tough one. As much as I love Brad Pitt and Benjamin Button, it won't be him. The Academy also often reserves the "comeback" award for supporting roles, so Mickey Rourke will miss out. The Academy likes to reward portrayals of real people, so it will be between Sean Penn and Frank Langella, and the award will go to Sean Penn for playing a more sympathetic character than Richard Nixon.

Best Actress - I haven't seen any of the films these women are nominated for. Melissa Leo won't win because of last years shock gong for Marion Cotillard. As good an actress as Anne Hathaway is, I think the Academy will hold out for her another year. So it's between La Streep, Angie and Kate Winslet. My sentimental favorite is Kate, but it's a very tight race, and I can't choose. So sentimentality wins, and it will be Kate Winslet .

Supporting Actor - I enjoyed "our Heath" in The Dark Knight, but I didn't think the performance was Oscar worthy. But if he loses, the winner will go down in infamy as robbing Heath of a final dignity in death. So Heath Ledger it will be, even though I think it should be Robert Downey Jr for his outrageous performance in Tropic Thunder.

Supporting Actress - Often reserved for up and comers, or lifetime achievers, meaning normally Viola Davis and Taraji P Hensen would be shoeins (ps, they are this years only non Caucasian acting nominees), but this year it will go to a more established actress (none of whom are about to drop of the perch...). Have to admit I haven't seen the films the 3 ladies have been in, and I'm basing my pick on buzz that I've heard, so Penelope Cruz it is.

Best Director - This year is only the 5th time in Oscar history that nominated directors are for the 5 Best Picture nominees. It always strikes me as odd that a film can be nominated for Best Picture and the director miss out, after all, it's the director's vision that makes a film what it is. Remember the furore over "the film that directed itself"? when Driving Miss Daisy won Best Picture and Bruce Beresford wasn't even nominated? Anyhoo, this year the Best Director will be the man behind the Best Picture winner - Danny Boyle. I love Danny Boyle movies, Trainspotting, Shallow Grave, 28 Days Later, Sunshine, even The Beach. It's great to see David Fincher nominated too, he is my 2nd favorite director (behind Alfred Hitchc0ck)

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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WOLVERINE IS DANCING, it must be the Oscars

PENELOPE CRUZ WINS: viva la raza, I love Penelope Cruz, well deserved win for a good performance. As far as I'm concerned Woody Allen just pays himself for jerking off, just like that legendary perve Stanley Kubruck, God rest his soul. Cruz all the way, the fiestas at her house.

Dustin Lance Black takes the best original screenplay gong for 'Milk' , or as homophobic phillistines the world over are calling it: some gay movie. It should've been 'In Burges': This cat Black (any relation to Shane Black I wonder?) isn't old enough to vote, but the Sean Penn flick about a gay politican puts him on the map with a surprise win.

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Dexter Motley Morgan
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Best Supporting Actor!

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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Simon Beaufoy picks up his best adapted screenplay award for 'Slumdog Millionaire', thought it was going to be 'The Reader', anti-semitic *******s.

Another one of my 'Should Win' predictions comes good as Michael O' Conner collects a statue for his sterling work on 'The Duchess', though Kiera Knightley could wear nothing and still look stunning...I'll leave you with that thought as we cut to a commerical break.

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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Holy ****, Motley just hi-jacked my thread: ****!!!!!

GOD BLESS YA HEATH, GOD BLESS YOU MATE!

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BEST SUPORTING ACTOR, WHO ELSE, WHO ELSE?

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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WALL-E wins it in animation, LA MAISON EN PETITS CUBES a French cartoon takes it home in the short film catergory, anyone here seen this picture?...thought not.

THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON wins in make-up and art direction, screwing 'THE DARK KNIGHT' in the process. Well done Brad Pitt, you young-old geezer, isn't it enough that you get to **** Angelina Jolie 24/7, now you have to **** Batman too!

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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Anthony Dod Mantle chalks up another one for SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE, taking home a best cinematogrpahy gong, 'THE DARK KNIGHT' gets screwed yet again.

MAN ON WIRE ginerly walks the tightrope to claim best documentary. Weak catergoy all around this year.

BUTTON takes best visual effects, 'DARK KNIGHT' picks up one for sound.

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE wins best editing, boy 'Frost/Nixon' (a great movie) is being ignored like Tito Jackson was at the Motown Jackson 5 reunion.

They just lobbed another gong THE DARK KNIGHT'S way, sound editing. Technical Oscars may sound boring, but they count when you stick it on the Oscar re-release DVD.

HELP THE AGED: Eddie Murphy gives Jerry Lewis a lifetime achivement Oscar, I always liked Lewis, wonder if Robert DeNiro is in the audience shouting anti-semitic insults like he did whilst shooting 'The King Of Comedy'.

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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AR Rahman, great composer, well deserved best score win for SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE. This puts Danny Boyle ahead by two golden men: 5-3 against THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON.
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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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Intermission and music...just enough time for a look at the Cruz sisters

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"Buenous dias, mire me presente mi hermana Monica Cruz..."

Just jot your numbers on that jersey, girls, and I'll call you in six days.

Penelope Cruz earlier this evening, she's got Hollywood by the balls!

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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This is about the time I breathe a sigh of releif for not having bet a dime on this nonsensical, random ritual of booozy backslapping: 'Departures' comes up from out of nowhere (well, it was on the nominations list, but never a serious contender) to scoop best animation...anyone seen this movie from the great country of Japan? you should, it just won an Oscar for best foreign film.

Frida Pinto looks like a smurf next to the lumbering lummox that is Liam Neeson.

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE makes it 6 for best song 'JAI HO!' and they'll be singing in the streets of New Delhi tonight.
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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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"FROM MY COLD, DEAD HANDS"

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A list of all those souls who shuffled off the mortal coil last year, plenty of legends on this roll of honour: some old timers, some young stars: all greats in their own right; sadly missed, never forgotton.

Bernie Mac, Cyd Charisse,Bud Stone, Ollie Johnston cry, Van Johnson, J Paul Huntsman, Michael Crichton, Nina Foch, Pat Hingle, Harold Pinter, Charles Joffe, Kon Ichikawa, Charles Schneer, Abby Mann, Roy Scheider, David Watkin, Robert Mulligan, Evelyn Keyes, Richard Widmark, Claude Berri, Maili Nurmi, Isaac Hayes, Leonard Rosenman, Ricardo Montalban, Manny Farber, Robert DoQui, Jules Dassin, Paul Scofield, John Michal Hayes, Warren Cowen,Stan Winston, Ned Tanen, James Whitmore, Charlton Heston, Anthony Mingehella, Sydney Pollack, Paul Newman.

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Kash
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DANNY BOYLE wins BEST DIRECTOR for SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE, thanks Tigger! alas, he didn't jump on stage and chest thump Reese Witherspoon like the emponymous Winnie The Pooh character, but a big win nonetheless. Like Jim Cameron got it for 'Titanic' Boyle wins for his worst film to date: still, a wins a win and he'll always be the genius who made 'Shallow Grave'& 'Trainspotting' back to back.
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Kash
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STUPID NAZI BITCH WITH-A-HEART-OF-GOLD WALKS ON IN TRIUMPH (of the will)

KATE WINSLET cements her place as a bonafide Hollywood starlet and wins BEST ACTRESS gong FOR 'THE READER' Kate likes to think she hasn't lost common touch, so if its any consolation I'll always think of her as that fat bird from Reading.

Emotional speech, I felt the Anthony Minghella tribute, met the man myself back at the 'Talented Mr Ripley' Q&A, really nice guy, very amiable fellow and a great director / producer. Well done Kate.

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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SPICOLI SURFS TO VICTORY AS THE WRESTLER GETS PINNED

BEST ACTOR: SEAN PENN, what a ****ing hero this guy is, satirises his own crowd of "commie homo-loving sons of guns!" Penn is one of my favourite actors, has been since the 80s, and this is second Academy award for best actor, putting him up there with the likes of his idol Jack Nicholson, Marlon Brando,Daniel Day Lewis, Dustin Hoffman, Tom Hanks Spencer Tracy, Fredric March & Gary Cooper.

Glad he acknowledged the resurgent Mickey Rourke who, I'm certain, is about to get plastered and **** anything that moves. As someone once said: I'm not homophobic in that I'm afriad of Gays, its just that I'm afraid they're all going to burn in Hell, well be that as it may, I agree with Penn in his equal rights for all people message, its difficult not to concur with a sentiment so reasonable thats its liable to ring ture with everytone, even my uncle, Mel...

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Kash
Kash : Aha! He'll save every one of us...
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BEST FILM AWARD GOES TO...SLUMDOG MILLIONARIE

8 WINS, COUNT EM': 8 OSCARS, that's one for each of Nadya Suleman's newborns as Danny Boyle's upbeat picture joins ranks with From Here to Eternity (1953), On the Waterfront (1954),
My Fair Lady (1964), Cabaret (1972), Gandhi (1982)
& Amadeus (1984).

FROST/NIXON should've won something IMO Frank Langella was excellent in it.

And that's that for another year, I'm off to find that jersey with the Cruz sister's numbers on it and since these bashes are pretty much devoid of any intellectual merit, I'll leave you with one of my favourite clips from one of my favourite movies in recent years. This has been me, for Fast-Rewind at the 81st Academy Awards, keeping it close to the bone and way out of my designated time zone, to bring you the very best live blog coverage (**** Twitter!!), blow-by-blow account of a ceremony that's already begun to fade away in the collective consciousness that we call popular culture. Until next time: Good night & Good luck.

GOOD NIGHT & GOOD LUCK

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Valley

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Kash, thanks for the Oscar updates and commentary.....it was quite entertaining.
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buffalo-girl
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yes thank-you kash i did watch some of it not all but was glad heath and sean won i love sean penn too i think he is a great actor!!
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